According to polls, Emmanuel Macron and Marine Le Pen will be in the 2022 presidential election and will face each other in the second round, regardless of the other candidates, including Eric Zemmour.

According to the Ipsos poll published for Franceinfo on Friday September 3, there are seven months before the first round of the presidential election on April 10, 2022. Emmanuel Macron and Marine Le Pen are still in the lead in terms of voting intentions. Depending on the circumstances, the outgoing head of state obtained 24 to 26 % votes, and the President of the National Assembly received 19 to 23 % votes.
Six different hypotheses were tested, depending on the candidates supported by the Republican Party and the candidacy of Eric Zemmour.

Surveys and very low rating for other Candidates

Republicans Bertrand, Pécresse and Barnier represent 11% to 17%
“Marine Le Pen now controls the possibility of her entering the second round, but her level has dropped. According to the analysis of Brice Teinturier, the chief representative of Ipsos France. We can play with three, although the Republicans have not yet selected them. . How will they nominate their candidates? Indeed, in all the hypotheses studied, the right-wing candidates occupied third place in terms of voting intentions. According to the candidacy of Eric Zemmour, Xavier Bertrand received 15 to 17 % of voting intentions, Valérie Pécresse received 14 to 16 % and Michel Barnier received 11 to 13 %. Brice Teinturier declared that before Michel Barnier, “ the gap between Xavier Bertrand and Valérie Pécresse has narrowed a lot”. “Nothing is decisive, even if the opinions show that Xavier Bertrand has an advantage.” These three personalities were in fact tested with LR-UDI sympathizers, and the Republican primary has still not confirmed that the right candidate had been nominated. Thus, Xavier Bertrand received 39 % favorable opinions from the right, Valérie Pécresse 29 % and Michel Barnier 22 %. Only 29 % supporters support the organization's primary election. 41% agree with the solution of choosing their candidates “within the framework of the General Assembly”, bringing together “right-wing leaders”.

In case of application, Eric Zemmour collected 8 to 8.5% of voting intentions. According to the general representative of Ipsos, the score “not to be neglected”, But this “has not changed much” because the voters in the debater “have as many attacks on RN as on LR”.

A record participation rate for the 2022 campaign

Nearly seven out of ten French people think they will vote According to the Ipsos-Sopra Steria poll at franceinfo and Le Parisien/Aujourd'hui in France. “Without a position of strength, Yannick Jadot leads by 10 %s, but only ahead of the 9 %s of Anne Hidalgo and the 8 %s to 8.5 %s of Jean-Luc Mélenchon,” analyzed Brice Teinturier. According to him, “the scores of the environmentalist candidates are equal to or higher than those of the socialists, this is not without importance”. In Europe, then in municipal and regional elections, this trend seems to be confirmed!

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